Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.997189 2.298608 2.635449 3.040743 3.516448 4.058616 4.725521
2025-03-16 1.510757 1.899730 2.379260 3.018112 3.853199 4.916294 6.385829
2025-03-23 1.254324 1.672045 2.221747 3.006339 4.110835 5.630243 7.913433
2025-03-30 1.065742 1.487308 2.071448 2.952506 4.269647 6.200810 9.312280
2025-04-06 0.952970 1.383929 2.008590 2.997780 4.558001 6.980897 11.141590
2025-04-13 0.836762 1.256618 1.888839 2.932539 4.656634 7.471524 12.584957
2025-04-20 0.784437 1.217007 1.893026 3.055610 5.066145 8.517384 15.153929
2025-04-27 0.714383 1.139826 1.826415 3.050013 5.252998 9.206348 17.206181
2025-05-04 0.674048 1.105324 1.823606 3.149540 5.634357 10.296715 20.231951
2025-05-11 0.624506 1.049265 1.776813 3.162898 5.856104 11.118631 22.878605
2025-05-18 0.580606 0.997879 1.731624 3.171700 6.067469 11.949412 25.710167
2025-05-25 0.529910 0.929058 1.647354 3.094712 6.095447 12.406220 27.795561
2025-06-01 0.492919 0.886504 1.616138 3.137206 6.418615 13.641272 32.247902
2025-06-08 0.449957 0.829196 1.552564 3.110954 6.605486 14.648962 36.529947
2025-06-15 0.414268 0.781215 1.500315 3.098888 6.819365 15.762216 41.423255
2025-06-22 0.378648 0.729100 1.432962 3.043208 6.921398 16.625829 45.900530
2025-06-29 0.356650 0.701817 1.413080 3.090032 7.277737 18.215268 53.034773
2025-07-06 0.327227 0.655879 1.348045 3.022559 7.336437 19.029675 58.051520
2025-07-13 0.316316 0.647781 1.363932 3.149843 7.923662 21.450216 69.231432
2025-07-20 0.296408 0.618011 1.327898 3.144055 8.153141 22.894650 77.589974
2025-07-27 0.285761 0.607521 1.334474 3.247001 8.706594 25.462697 91.145847
2025-08-03 0.270186 0.584238 1.308361 3.260820 9.006642 27.313078 102.713001
2025-08-10 0.255664 0.561895 1.281924 3.269925 9.295749 29.208841 115.329757